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Why most companies lack the capability to translate geopolitical risk into business decisions, and why that gap is becoming a career opportunity. Download →
Why identifying threats isn't the same as understanding them, a case for structural risk analysis over reactive threat detection. Download →
Why enterprise risk integration has stalled for a generation, and the structural constraint behind it. Download →
AI is closing the old constraint, but a deeper one, organizational architecture, remains. Download →
What the new synthesis function must be capable of, and what the organization has to provide. Download →
The reality could be that your best threat intel function isn't talking to anyone.
The security programs that build their case on data, continuously, don't ride the ebb and flow. The ones that wait for headlines do.
What the data says about the C-suite's trust gap in risk reporting, and why the fix lives one layer beneath the page, not on it.
As AI absorbs routine guarding work, a new analyst tier is opening beneath it. The question is whether organizations build the pathway to it.
An analyst field reference covering the full production cycle in one place, in sequence, for entry-level analysts and seasoned pros alike.
The three determinants and four-level maturity model, distilled to one page. See the full reference below for the complete framework.
The three determinants and four-level maturity model for TRM programs, distilled to one page. See the full reference below for the complete framework.
The country has plenty of data about disasters and the economy. What it doesn't have is anyone whose job is to add it up.
A downloadable PDF covering the three determinants, the four-level maturity model, a governance RACI, and a self-assessment: the complete reference, not just the primer.
Buy for $80 →A downloadable PDF covering the three determinants, the four-level maturity model, a governance RACI, a worked example, and a self-assessment: the complete reference, not just the primer.
Buy for $80 →A sample of past intelligence and risk assessment projects, not a complete record, but a working sense of the range and depth involved.
An interactive 3D map of the U.S. Climate Vulnerability Index: 37 vulnerability factors and how they move together across 73,057 census tracts. It opens on the full, tangled picture, then narrows to the ten factors most elevated at each vulnerability level as you move the slider. Built as an example of embracing complexity through data and method to arrive at strategy that is simpler to act on. The same approach applied to an organization's own footprint is the case study below.
What the explorer is, what it does not do, how it can supplement the Climate Vulnerability Index, and how an organization can use it. Includes the limits of the method: the relationships shown are correlations across census tracts, not proven causes.
Applied the Climate Vulnerability Index, nearly 200 cross-cutting climate and socio-economic indicators covering every U.S. county and over 70,000 census tracts, against an organization's site location data to produce a ranked view of exposure across roughly 400 physical locations, with direct implications for continuity and workforce planning.
When armed conflict in Sudan disrupted exports of gum arabic, a raw ingredient with no easy substitute in food and beverage production and one where Sudan is the world's largest exporter, this became a direct line to production risk for a client whose supply chain depended on it. Mapping the full supplier network, not just tier-one vendors, made it possible to identify the single point of failure before it failed.
In spring 2021, a client in the energy sector with a major presence in Ukraine needed to move beyond headlines and reach a working understanding of how likely different outcomes were. Five scenarios were built, each with trackable indicators and a corresponding decision matrix, giving senior leaders a way to cut through uncertainty and act on the signals that mattered as the situation evolved toward the escalation in February 2022.
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